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Green Shoots? Hints of an Economic Recovery Are Premature
The mid-March and April 2009 market rally suggests equity investors are anticipating the recovery. There has been good news. A text book recovery would see the stock markets react to the good news about 60% to 70% of the way through the recession as firms prepare for a rapid recovery.
Bank Stress Test NonsenseAgain the “experts” can’t get it right. The stress test are about one thing and one thing only – FAS 140. These additional cash reserve requirements are not about surviving the recession, they are about surviving the change in rules that will eliminate QSPE’s (most of them anyway), forcing banks to repatriate or add assets to their balance sheets. Only banks have neither the reserves nor sufficient capital to do so.
